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Pikine vs Casa

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Pikine Logo

Pikine

1 - 1
FT
Casa Logo

Casa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pikine
30%
Draws
54%
Casa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Casa at 0.97 per game, Pikine at 0.67.
  • Model gives Casa a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Pikine Clean Sheet 29%
Casa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pikine Casa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 13 19
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs Pikine
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Casa
1:1
May 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Casa
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs Pikine
1:0
May 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs Pikine
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pikine 30 / 100
Casa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pikine Casa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pikine found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Casa has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pikine remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pikine VS Casa
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pikine

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
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Casa

(Away)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)