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Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Lis J.
56' Event
Lis J.
68' Event
Zinkewycz O.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Pilica Bialobrzegi and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
6%
Draws
90%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki come out ahead of Pilica Bialobrzegi on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 10%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pilica Bialobrzegi Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 5 12
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 4 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2:3
Nov 11, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
6:0
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
6:1
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
1:0
Aug 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazimierczak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glowacki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Lis J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zinkewycz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pilica Bialobrzegi 10 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pilica Bialobrzegi Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Pilica Bialobrzegi found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pilica Bialobrzegi VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919