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Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Swit Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kopczynski M.
59' Event
Ciach A.
65' Event
Tkaczyk J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Pilica Bialobrzegi and Swit Mazowiecki finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
6%
Draws
90%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swit Mazowiecki come out ahead of Pilica Bialobrzegi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Swit Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Swit Mazowiecki have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 10%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pilica Bialobrzegi Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 4 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:5
Oct 21, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
5:2
Apr 29, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
4:1
Sep 21, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:2
May 28, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopczynski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciach A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pilica Bialobrzegi 10 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pilica Bialobrzegi Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Pilica Bialobrzegi scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Swit Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 71% of their last 41 outings.

Away concern: Swit Mazowiecki has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pilica Bialobrzegi VS Swit Mazowiecki
0 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919