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Pimentense vs Ariquemes FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2013
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AI Match Summary

Pimentense play Ariquemes FC in the Campeonato Rondoniense 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pimentense averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Ariquemes FC averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Pimentense won 3, Ariquemes FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2014 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.78 for Pimentense and 1.88 for Ariquemes FC. This points to a Pimentense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pimentense
6%
Draws
90%
Ariquemes FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ariquemes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ariquemes FC demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Pimentense (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ariquemes FC.
  • Cup tournament structure in Campeonato Rondoniense 2013 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pimentense Clean Sheet 10%
Ariquemes FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pimentense Ariquemes FC
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2014 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Pimentense
0:1
May 10, 2014 Rondoniense
Pimentense vs Ariquemes FC
1:5
Apr 27, 2014 Rondoniense
Pimentense vs Ariquemes FC
2:0
Mar 23, 2014 Rondoniense
Ariquemes FC vs Pimentense
1:0
May 19, 2013 Rondoniense
Pimentense vs Ariquemes FC
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pimentense 10 / 100
Ariquemes FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pimentense Ariquemes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pimentense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ariquemes FC let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pimentense went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ariquemes FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pimentense VS Ariquemes FC
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vilhena3
Genus2
Ariquemes FC2
Pimentense3
Final
Vilhena6
Pimentense3