Sport Picks

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Pinar del Rio vs FC La Habana

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, Apr 19, 2025
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pinar del Rio host FC La Habana in the Liga Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Pinar del Rio at 0.63 goals for, 1.13 against; FC La Habana at 1.38 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, Pinar del Rio have won 0 to FC La Habana's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.25, favoring FC La Habana. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pinar del Rio
22%
Draws
60%
FC La Habana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC La Habana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pinar del Rio haven't matched FC La Habana's recent run of results.
  • FC La Habana are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 19%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinar del Rio FC La Habana
Matches Played 26 39
Wins 6 22
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs FC La Habana
2:2
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Pinar del Rio
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs FC La Habana
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Pinar del Rio
3:0
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Pinar del Rio
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinar del Rio 20 / 100
FC La Habana 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinar del Rio FC La Habana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinar del Rio scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: FC La Habana conceded in 56% of 39 recent games.

Solid form: Pinar del Rio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pinar del Rio VS FC La Habana
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228