Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, Mar 8, 2025
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pinar del Rio play Isla de La Juventud in the Liga Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pinar del Rio averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Isla de La Juventud averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Pinar del Rio won 2, Isla de La Juventud won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Pinar del Rio and 0.75 for Isla de La Juventud. This points to a Pinar del Rio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pinar del Rio
33%
Draws
40%
Isla de La Juventud
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pinar del Rio demonstrates higher offensive output (1 avg goals) than Isla de La Juventud (0.38 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Isla de La Juventud.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 20%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinar del Rio Isla de La Juventud
Matches Played 26 23
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinar del Rio 28 / 100
Isla de La Juventud 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinar del Rio Isla de La Juventud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinar del Rio scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Isla de La Juventud let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Pinar del Rio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Isla de La Juventud lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinar del Rio VS Isla de La Juventud
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228