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Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud Prediction & H2H Stats

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, Mar 8, 2025
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pinar del Rio host Isla de La Juventud in the Liga Nacional. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Pinar del Rio at 1 goals for, 1.35 against; Isla de La Juventud at 0.87 for, 1.65 against. Head-to-head, Pinar del Rio have won 2 to Isla de La Juventud's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.75) point toward Pinar del Rio. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Pinar del Rio
20%
Draws
65%
Isla de La Juventud
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pinar del Rio at 1 per game, Isla de La Juventud at 0.87.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Isla de La Juventud taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 20%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinar del Rio Isla de La Juventud
Matches Played 26 23
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinar del Rio 28 / 100
Isla de La Juventud 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinar del Rio Isla de La Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Isla de La Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinar del Rio scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Isla de La Juventud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Pinar del Rio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pinar del Rio VS Isla de La Juventud
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinar del Rio

(Home)
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
07 Jun
Artemisa
2 : 1
Pinar del Rio
17 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 0
Artemisa
10 May
FC La Habana
1 : 0
Pinar del Rio
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
Page 1 of 6

Isla de La Juventud

(Away)
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
18 Jun
Artemisa
0 : 3
Isla de La Juventud
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
09 May
Isla de La Juventud
0 : 3
Artemisa
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)