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Pinatar vs Aguilas FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pinatar
44%
Draws
20%
Aguilas FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguilas FC lately — more wins on the board than Pinatar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 19%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar Aguilas FC
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 14 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Aguilas FC
3:1
Sep 24, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC vs Pinatar
2:0
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Aguilas FC
0:1
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Aguilas FC vs Pinatar
3:2
Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Aguilas FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 36 / 100
Aguilas FC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar Aguilas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Pinatar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguilas FC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lorca Deportiva34246464:1678
2Aguilas FC34245562:2977
3E.G. El Palmar34206871:3066
4Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC34196958:3963
5Yeclano34188852:2762
6La Union CF341611751:3859
7Huercal-Overa CF341481242:4150
8Real Murcia B341541545:3949
9Deportiva Minera341371456:6146
10Muleno CF341361540:4845
11Estudiantes de Murcia CF341251750:4241
12EDMF Churra341251737:4541
13Ciudad de Murcia341161745:5639
14CA Pulpileno348111533:4335
15Pinatar34871941:5931
16Plus Ultra347101735:5531
17EF Alhama34682039:6926
18Caravaca34372429:11316