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Pinatar vs Calasparra FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

Pinatar in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pinatar
6%
Draws
4%
Calasparra FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pinatar have won more games recently than Calasparra FC.
  • Model gives Pinatar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 18%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar Calasparra FC
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Calasparra FC
4:3
Dec 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Pinatar
0:5
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Calasparra FC
3:0
Dec 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Pinatar
0:0
Apr 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Pinatar
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 85 / 100
Calasparra FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar Calasparra FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Calasparra FC has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pinatar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114