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Pinatar vs EDMF Churra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Pinatar
35%
Draws
31%
EDMF Churra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pinatar lately — more wins on the board than EDMF Churra.
  • Win probability leans Pinatar's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 20%
EDMF Churra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar EDMF Churra
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs EDMF Churra
1:1
Dec 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EDMF Churra vs Pinatar
2:2
Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs EDMF Churra
1:1
Sep 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EDMF Churra vs Pinatar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 42 / 100
EDMF Churra 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar EDMF Churra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pinatar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

EDMF Churra has conceded goals in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS EDMF Churra
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0
CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 7

EDMF Churra

(Away)
22 Aug
EDMF Churra
0 : 4
Yeclano
13 Jun
Ciudad de Murcia
2 : 2
EDMF Churra
06 Jun
EDMF Churra
1 : 0
Muleno CF
30 May
Lorca FC
0 : 1
EDMF Churra
23 May
EDMF Churra
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)