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Pinerolo vs Alba

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Galasso A.
85' Event
Albisetti F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Pinerolo and Alba finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pinerolo
35%
Draws
41%
Alba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pinerolo haven't matched Alba's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 19%
Alba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinerolo Alba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.57 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Alba
0:2
Dec 21, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Pinerolo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinerolo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Galasso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albisetti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinerolo 32 / 100
Alba 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinerolo Alba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pinerolo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pinerolo's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pinerolo VS Alba
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinerolo

(Home)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

Alba

(Away)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)