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Pinerolo vs Novese

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Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Pinerolo Logo

Pinerolo

5 - 1
FT
Novese Logo

Novese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pinerolo in this Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinerolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Pinerolo
35%
Draws
0%
Novese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinerolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Pinerolo have won more games recently than Novese.
  • Win probability leans Pinerolo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 20%
Novese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinerolo Novese
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 12 2
Losses 17 26
Goals Scored 0.82 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Novese
5:1
Oct 25, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Pinerolo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinerolo 85 / 100
Novese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinerolo Novese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinerolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Novese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pinerolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinerolo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinerolo

(Home)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 8

Novese

(Away)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)