Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pineto vs Aquila Calcio

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Chiarella M.
90'

AI Match Summary

Aquila Calcio in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquila Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pineto
35%
Draws
45%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aquila Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Pineto.
  • Model gives Aquila Calcio a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pineto Clean Sheet 20%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Pineto vs Aquila Calcio
0:1
Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Pineto
1:3
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Aquila Calcio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pineto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.29

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiarella M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 12 / 100
Aquila Calcio 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Pineto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pineto scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Aquila Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Aquila Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.29
50% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4
Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6