Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Ionita A.
37'
37'
Coppolaro M.
46'
46'
Sub
Vigliotti G. In: D'Andrea F.
Out: Vigliotti G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Pineto and Arezzo finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arezzo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arezzo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Pineto haven't matched Arezzo's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pineto | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Arezzo
1:4
Dec 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Pineto
3:3
Jan 12, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Pineto
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Arezzo
3:1
Mar 17, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Arezzo
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pineto Compare
Top Goalscorer El Haddad S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Arezzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ionita A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pineto 41 / 100
Arezzo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pineto Arezzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Pineto scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Pineto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Arezzo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pineto VS Arezzo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pineto
(Home) 23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0 Pineto
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2 Gubbio
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0 Pineto
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2 Gubbio
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4 Scafatese
Page 1 of 4
Arezzo
(Away) 22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2 Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0 Arezzo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1 Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3 AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2 Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0 Arezzo
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1 Arezzo
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2 Arezzo
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3 Arezzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
