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Pineto vs Bra

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
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Match Events

24'
Schirone L.
36'
Ienco S.
52' Event
Armstrong D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Pineto and Bra finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pineto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Pineto
35%
Draws
9%
Bra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pineto come out ahead of Bra on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Pineto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Bra Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Bra
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.89 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.87 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Bra
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Bra vs Pineto
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer Borsoi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nebuloso G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.43

Bra Compare

Top Goalscorer Armstrong D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 59 / 100
Bra 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Bra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bra conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pineto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bra registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Bra
0.88 Goals Scored 0.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0
Livorno
23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0
Pineto
Page 1 of 6

Bra

(Away)
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
09 May
Bra
0 : 1
Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)