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Pineto vs Porto D'Ascoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Minincleri S.
39' Event
Zoboletti A.
45' Event
Clerici N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pineto
35%
Draws
24%
Porto D'Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Porto D'Ascoli haven't matched Pineto's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Porto D'Ascoli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Porto D'Ascoli
2:2
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Pineto
1:3
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Porto D'Ascoli vs Pineto
1:2
Apr 20, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Pineto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer Minincleri S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lo Sicco F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Porto D'Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Zoboletti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clerici N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 42 / 100
Porto D'Ascoli 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Porto D'Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto D'Ascoli has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Pineto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pineto found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
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Porto D'Ascoli

(Away)
07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1
Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2
Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1
Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)