Sport Picks

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Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Pinhalnovense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pinhalnovense
35%
Draws
26%
Atletico SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinhalnovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinhalnovense come out ahead of Atletico SC on wins alone.
  • Pinhalnovense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Pinhalnovense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pinhalnovense, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Atletico SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Pinhalnovense
2:0
Mar 26, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
2:1
Dec 13, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Pinhalnovense
2:1
Sep 20, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
1:0
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 77 / 100
Atletico SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Atletico SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinhalnovense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinhalnovense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Atletico SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Pinhalnovense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pinhalnovense VS Atletico SC
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinhalnovense

(Home)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 6

Atletico SC

(Away)
10 Sept
Atletico SC
0 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
11 Sept
Atletico SC
2 : 5
Olhanense
29 May
Atletico SC
2 : 2
Nogueirense
21 May
Nogueirense
2 : 0
Atletico SC
15 May
Atletico SC
2 : 0
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 3
Oliveira do Douro 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Leiria e Marrazes -
TBD -
SC Mirandela 2
Mondinense 3
Sao Martinho 2
Aroes 0
Amiense -
TBD -
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almancilense -
TBD -
TBD -
Olhanense -
FC Pampilhosa 7
AD Estacao 0
TBD -
Mafra -
Amiense 0
SB Castelo Branco 9
TBD -
Portimonense -
Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Limianos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense 4
CF Os Gavionenses 0
AD Pontassolense 0
Minas de Argozelo 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
Cova De Piedade 1
Torreense 0
Moncarapachense 0
Lusitano VRSA 2
Covilha -
TBD -
Electrico FC 1
Alcanenense 2
Mosteirense -
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade 0
Sporting Ideal 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Crato 2
Vitoria Sernache 1
GD Alcochetense 0
GS Loures 1
SC Salgueiros 1
Cinfaes 0
Fayal 1
Aguias do Moradal 6
FC Amares 4
Aguia Vimioso 3
Alcains 0
Operario 1
Trofense 1
Sobrado 0
TBD -
Atletico CP -
Pedras Rubras 1
AD Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Sanjoanense 4
Sousense 1
Mosteirense 1
1º Dezembro 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Sabugal -
Castrense 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
TBD -
Famalicao -
SC Praiense 7
Mira Mar 0
Vitorino de Piaes 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Sacavenense 2
Redondense 0
FC Barreirense 2
Malveira 5
SC Angrense 2
Academica Coimbra SF 1
Almancilense 0
Moura AC 1
Vitorino de Piaes -
TBD -
Sao Roque 0
Torre De Moncorvo 2
Varzim -
TBD -
GD Uniao Torcatense 3
Maria de Fonte 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Agueda 4
Trancoso 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Rio Tinto 3
Regua 1
Penalva do Castelo 2
Mortagua FC 3
Oliveira Hospital 2
GD Tourizense 1
TBD -
SC Farense -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bustelo -
TBD -
Neves 0
SC Vianense 1
Vilafranquense -
TBD -
TBD -
Manteigas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Amarante FC 3
SC Vila Real 2
TBD -
Sao Roque -
Lusitano FCV 2
Gafanha 0
Vilaverdense FC 1
GD Braganca 2
Lusitania FC 1
Bustelo 0
Carregal do Sal 2
Estarreja 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Chaves -
TBD -
Tomar 0
Leiria 7
Freamunde -
TBD -
Juv. Evora 0
Louletano 5
Leixoes -
TBD -
Atletico SC 0
Pinhalnovense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Camacha 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
CD Rabo Peixe 1
Uniao 4
Naval 3
Nogueirense 1
Praia Milfontes 2
Viana Alentejo 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Casa Pia 1
Vilafranquense 3
Leiria e Marrazes 0
Alcobaca 1
Real SC 3
Sintrense 1
TBD -
Oriental -
GD Coruchense 2
Povoense 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Penafiel -
TBD -
Amora 1
Lagoa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
Manteigas 0
Oliveira de Frades 4
Gafanha -
TBD -
Vizela 0
AD Fafe 1
Caldas SC 2
GD Peniche 1
FC Felgueiras 0
Tirsense 1
GD Alcochetense -
TBD -
AD Limianos 0
Atletico Arcos 1
Gondomar 2
Coimbroes 1
SC Sabugal 3
Anadia 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
1/64-finals
Gil Vicente 5
Oliveira do Douro 3
TBD -
Tondela -
Leiria e Marrazes 3
Mondinense 2
Sao Martinho 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
BSAD -
TBD -
Almancilense 0
Olhanense 2
FC Pampilhosa 1
Mafra 0
Amiense 0
Portimonense 1
Aves 1
AD Limianos 0
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense 3
Minas de Argozelo 1
TBD -
U. Madeira -
Cova De Piedade 2
Lusitano VRSA 1
Covilha 2
Alcanenense 3
Mosteirense 2
Sporting Ideal 0
TBD -
Nacional -
Boavista -
TBD -
FC Crato 0
GS Loures 2
SC Salgueiros 2
Aguias do Moradal 1
FC Amares 1
Operario 2
Trofense 3
Atletico CP 2
Pedras Rubras 0
Santa Clara 1
Sanjoanense 3
1º Dezembro 2
TBD -
Academica -
Feirense 2
SC Sabugal 0
Castrense 0
Famalicao 5
SC Praiense 4
CDC Montalegre 0
Sacavenense 0
Malveira 3
SC Angrense 2
Moura AC 1
Vitorino de Piaes 0
Torre De Moncorvo 1
Varzim 2
Maria de Fonte 0
TBD -
FC Porto -
Braga -
TBD -
Agueda 0
Academico Viseu 2
Rio Tinto 2
Mortagua FC 1
Oliveira Hospital 3
SC Farense 4
Benfica -
TBD -
Bustelo 2
SC Vianense 3
Vilafranquense 8
Manteigas 1
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Amarante FC 8
Sao Roque 0
Lusitano FCV 1
GD Braganca 4
Lusitania FC 2
Estarreja 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Chaves 1
Leiria 0
Freamunde 1
Louletano 2
Leixoes 2
Pinhalnovense 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Camacha 1
Uniao 3
Naval 2
Viana Alentejo 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Casa Pia 5
Alcobaca 0
Real SC 1
Oriental 3
GD Coruchense 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Penafiel 3
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Coimbroes 1
Oliveira de Frades 0
Gafanha 1
AD Fafe 2
Caldas SC 2
Tirsense 1
GD Alcochetense 0
Atletico Arcos 2
Gondomar 3
Anadia 1
TBD -
Estoril -
1/32-finals
Gil Vicente 2
Tondela 1
Leiria e Marrazes 1
SB Castelo Branco 5
BSAD 1
Olhanense 0
FC Pampilhosa 0
Portimonense 5
Aves 3
Moreirense 2
Sertanense 1
U. Madeira 5
Cova De Piedade 4
Alcanenense 3
Mosteirense 0
Nacional 6
Boavista 2
GS Loures 1
SC Salgueiros 0
Operario 1
Trofense 1
Santa Clara 0
Sanjoanense 1
Academica 5
Feirense 2
Famalicao 1
SC Praiense 0
Malveira 3
SC Angrense 4
Torre De Moncorvo 1
Varzim 0
FC Porto 2
Braga 3
Academico Viseu 0
Rio Tinto 0
SC Farense 1
Benfica 2
SC Vianense 1
Vilafranquense 0
Sporting CP 4
Amarante FC 3
GD Braganca 2
Lusitania FC 0
Maritimo 2
Chaves 5
Louletano 0
Leixoes 1
Arouca 2
Rio Ave 3
Uniao 0
Naval 1
Pacos Ferreira 7
Casa Pia 3
Oriental 1
GD Coruchense 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Penafiel 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Coimbroes 2
AD Fafe 3
Caldas SC 3
Atletico Arcos 0
Gondomar 0
Estoril 1
1/16-finals
Gil Vicente 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
BSAD 2
Portimonense 3
Aves 4
U. Madeira 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Boavista 1
Operario 0
Trofense 0
Academica 1
Feirense 1
Malveira 0
SC Angrense 0
FC Porto 2
Braga 1
SC Farense 0
Benfica 1
Sporting CP 2
Amarante FC 1
Maritimo 0
Chaves 0
Arouca 1
Rio Ave 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Casa Pia 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Penafiel 2
AD Fafe 1
Caldas SC 0
Estoril 1
1/8-finals
Gil Vicente 2
Portimonense 1
Aves 2
Nacional 3
Boavista 1
Academica 0
Feirense 0
FC Porto 1
Braga 4
Sporting CP 3
Amarante FC 1
Arouca 2
Rio Ave 2
Vitoria Setubal 1
Penafiel 0
Estoril 1
Quarter-finals
Gil Vicente 1
Nacional 0
Boavista 0
FC Porto 1
Braga 2
Arouca 0
Rio Ave 3
Estoril 0
Semi-finals
Gil Vicente 0
FC Porto 5
Braga 1
Rio Ave 0
Final
FC Porto 2
Braga 3