Sport Picks

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Pinhalnovense vs Juv. Evora

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Sun, Mar 6, 2022
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pinhalnovense host Juv. Evora in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group F. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pinhalnovense have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Juv. Evora's 1.5 scored and 0.78 conceded. Head-to-head, Pinhalnovense have won 1 to Juv. Evora's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.05) point toward Juv. Evora. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pinhalnovense
35%
Draws
42%
Juv. Evora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Juv. Evora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Juv. Evora a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 20%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Juv. Evora
Matches Played 21 40
Wins 9 20
Draws 4 14
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pinhalnovense vs Juv. Evora
0:0
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Juv. Evora vs Pinhalnovense
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Juv. Evora vs Pinhalnovense
1:0
Nov 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Juv. Evora
1:1
Apr 24, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Juv. Evora vs Pinhalnovense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 20 / 100
Juv. Evora 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Juv. Evora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinhalnovense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pinhalnovense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Juv. Evora has conceded goals in 57% of their last 40 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Juv. Evora
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinhalnovense

(Home)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
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Juv. Evora

(Away)
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olhanense 16 10 6 0 32:15 36
2 Moncarapachense 16 9 6 1 31:12 33
3 Louletano 16 9 5 2 37:15 32
4 Juv. Evora 16 6 6 4 26:12 24
5 Esperanca de Lagos 16 5 4 7 20:25 19
6 Serpa 16 4 4 8 18:32 16
7 Imortal 16 2 6 8 9:26 12
8 Uniao Montemor 16 3 3 10 12:28 12
9 FC Barreirense 16 1 6 9 10:30 9
10 Pinhalnovense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)