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Pinhalnovense vs Monsanto

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 game between Pinhalnovense and Monsanto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pinhalnovense
35%
Draws
35%
Monsanto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinhalnovense come out ahead of Monsanto on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pinhalnovense a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 20%
Monsanto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Monsanto
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.43 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Pinhalnovense vs Monsanto
1:1
Dec 10, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Monsanto vs Pinhalnovense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 40 / 100
Monsanto 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Monsanto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinhalnovense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinhalnovense scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

Monsanto let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Pinhalnovense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pinhalnovense VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinhalnovense

(Home)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

Monsanto

(Away)
29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0
Atletico SC
22 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Monsanto
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5
Fatima
07 Apr
Pinhalnovense
1 : 1
Monsanto
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatima 30 18 6 6 50:30 60
2 Oriental 30 16 8 6 49:17 56
3 Torreense 30 15 11 4 47:27 56
4 Carregado 30 15 8 7 57:38 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 16 5 9 47:32 53
6 Mafra 30 10 16 4 33:22 46
7 Louletano 30 13 7 10 28:33 46
8 Sertanense 30 11 10 9 37:32 43
9 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 11 5 14 35:34 38
10 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 30:34 35
11 1º Dezembro 30 8 10 12 28:29 34
12 Juv. Evora 30 9 5 16 29:42 32
13 Monsanto 30 6 11 13 25:41 29
14 Atletico SC 30 5 11 14 31:50 26
15 Moura AC 30 6 7 17 28:57 25
16 Caldas SC 30 3 9 18 17:53 18
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)