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Pinhalnovense vs Serpa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pinhalnovense Logo

Pinhalnovense

4 - 1
FT
Serpa Logo

Serpa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pinhalnovense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group F matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinhalnovense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pinhalnovense
35%
Draws
37%
Serpa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Serpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Serpa have won more games recently than Pinhalnovense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 20%
Serpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Serpa
Matches Played 21 43
Wins 9 20
Draws 4 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Serpa vs Pinhalnovense
0:0
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pinhalnovense vs Serpa
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 36 / 100
Serpa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Serpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinhalnovense scored in 71% of their last 21 outings.

Serpa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 43 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Pinhalnovense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Serpa
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinhalnovense

(Home)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

Serpa

(Away)
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olhanense 16 10 6 0 32:15 36
2 Moncarapachense 16 9 6 1 31:12 33
3 Louletano 16 9 5 2 37:15 32
4 Juv. Evora 16 6 6 4 26:12 24
5 Esperanca de Lagos 16 5 4 7 20:25 19
6 Serpa 16 4 4 8 18:32 16
7 Imortal 16 2 6 8 9:26 12
8 Uniao Montemor 16 3 3 10 12:28 12
9 FC Barreirense 16 1 6 9 10:30 9
10 Pinhalnovense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)