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Pinheirense vs Paraense SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Pinheirense Logo

Pinheirense

1 - 0
FT
Paraense SC Logo

Paraense SC

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pinheirense in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinheirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pinheirense
30%
Draws
23%
Paraense SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinheirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pinheirense have won more games recently than Paraense SC.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Pinheirense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 18%
Paraense SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheirense Paraense SC
Matches Played 26 10
Wins 5 4
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Paraense A3
Pinheirense vs Paraense SC
1:0
Sep 5, 2026 Paraense A3
Paraense SC vs Pinheirense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheirense 67 / 100
Paraense SC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheirense Paraense SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinheirense scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Paraense SC let in goals in 60% of their last 10 matches.

Pinheirense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paraense SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pinheirense VS Paraense SC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheirense

(Home)
03 Oct
Pinheirense
2 : 0
Venus
27 Sept
Venus
2 : 1
Pinheirense
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
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Paraense SC

(Away)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
06 Nov
Santos PA
3 : 0
Paraense SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)