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Pinheirense vs Paragominas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paraense B1 2024
Pinheirense Logo

Pinheirense

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Paragominas Logo

Paragominas

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense B1 2024 game between Pinheirense and Paragominas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pinheirense
35%
Draws
35%
Paragominas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paragominas come out ahead of Pinheirense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 16%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheirense Paragominas
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.84 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Pinheirense
3:1
Jun 11, 2025 Paraense A2
Pinheirense vs Paragominas
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Paraense A2
Pinheirense vs Paragominas
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Pinheirense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheirense 31 / 100
Paragominas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheirense Paragominas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinheirense scored in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Paragominas conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pinheirense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheirense VS Paragominas
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheirense

(Home)
27 Sept
Venus
2 : 1
Pinheirense
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
05 Sept
Paraense SC
0 : 0
Pinheirense
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Paragominas

(Away)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)