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Pinheirense vs Tesla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Pinheirense at 0.85 goals for, 1.44 against; Tesla at 1.67 for, 2.11 against. Past meetings favor Tesla slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.25) back Tesla to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pinheirense
20%
Draws
47%
Tesla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tesla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tesla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Tesla taking it.
  • Tesla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pinheirense Clean Sheet 19%
Tesla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheirense Tesla
Matches Played 27 18
Wins 5 6
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.85 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Paraense A3
Tesla vs Pinheirense
2:0
Sep 20, 2026 Paraense A3
Tesla vs Pinheirense
2:2
Sep 11, 2026 Paraense A3
Pinheirense vs Tesla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheirense 24 / 100
Tesla 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheirense Tesla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tesla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tesla has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pinheirense scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pinheirense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheirense VS Tesla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheirense

(Home)
09 Oct
Tesla
2 : 0
Pinheirense
03 Oct
Pinheirense
2 : 0
Venus
27 Sept
Venus
2 : 1
Pinheirense
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
16 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 0
Paraense SC
Page 1 of 6

Tesla

(Away)
09 Oct
Tesla
2 : 0
Pinheirense
03 Oct
Pedreira
2 : 1
Tesla
27 Sept
Tesla
4 : 1
Pedreira
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tesla 5
Pedreira 3
Venus 2
Pinheirense 3
Parauapebas 3
Sport Belem 1
Belenense 1
Gaviao 2
Semi-finals
Tesla 2
Pinheirense 0
Parauapebas -
Gaviao -
Final
TBD -
TBD -