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Pinheiros vs Sport-ES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Pinheiros and Sport-ES finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport-ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pinheiros
15%
Draws
85%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport-ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport-ES carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sport-ES a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sport-ES have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 20%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiros Sport-ES
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.23 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Pinheiros
4:1
Jul 17, 2026 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Sport-ES
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Sport-ES
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiros 10 / 100
Sport-ES 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiros Sport-ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport-ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport-ES has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Pinheiros found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Sport-ES has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiros VS Sport-ES
0.63 Goals Scored 1
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiros

(Home)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
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Sport-ES

(Away)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)