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Pinheiros vs Vilavelhense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2007
Pinheiros Logo

Pinheiros

3 - 1
FT
Vilavelhense Logo

Vilavelhense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2007 game between Pinheiros and Vilavelhense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinheiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pinheiros
20%
Draws
80%
Vilavelhense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vilavelhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pinheiros haven't matched Vilavelhense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vilavelhense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 10%
Vilavelhense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiros Vilavelhense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Vilavelhense
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 Capixaba 2
Vilavelhense vs Pinheiros
1:0
Apr 24, 2021 Capixaba
Pinheiros vs Vilavelhense
2:3
Mar 26, 2008 Capixaba
Pinheiros vs Vilavelhense
1:1
Feb 9, 2008 Capixaba
Vilavelhense vs Pinheiros
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiros 10 / 100
Vilavelhense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiros Vilavelhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilavelhense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinheiros scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Vilavelhense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vilavelhense registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiros VS Vilavelhense
0.63 Goals Scored 1
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiros

(Home)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
Page 1 of 6

Vilavelhense

(Away)
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Vilavelhense
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
28 May
Rio Branco ES
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
2 Pinheiros 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
3 CTE Colatina 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 Jaguare 5 1 2 2 10:14 5
5 Estrela do Norte 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2007 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colatinense 5 4 0 1 9:6 12
2 Vilavelhense 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
3 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
4 Serra 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Vitoria ES 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2007 (Second stage - Play Offs)