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Pinneberg vs Sasel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2018/2019
Pinneberg Logo

Pinneberg

1 - 11
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Sasel Logo

Sasel

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2018/2019 game between Pinneberg and Sasel finished 1-11, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sasel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Pinneberg
15%
Draws
59%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sasel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Pinneberg Clean Sheet 10%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinneberg Sasel
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 20
Draws 1 6
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 1.23 3.05
Goals Conceded 5.33 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Oberliga Hamburg
Pinneberg vs Sasel
1:11
Oct 28, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Pinneberg
6:0
Mar 7, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Pinneberg
1:2
Aug 13, 2017 Oberliga Hamburg
Pinneberg vs Sasel
0:1
May 25, 2012 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Pinneberg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinneberg 34 / 100
Sasel 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinneberg Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sasel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sasel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pinneberg scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Pinneberg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinneberg VS Sasel
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinneberg

(Home)
18 Sept
SC Victoria Hamburg
3 : 1
Pinneberg
13 Sept
Pinneberg
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
06 Sept
HT 16
5 : 1
Pinneberg
30 Aug
Pinneberg
5 : 0
Niendorfer TSV
23 Aug
Paloma
2 : 2
Pinneberg
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Sasel

(Away)
13 Sept
Sasel
0 : 3
Niendorfer TSV
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
30 Aug
Sasel
3 : 2
Tesla Hamburg
21 Aug
Eintracht Norderstedt II
0 : 3
Sasel
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 3 6 72:24 78
2 Teutonia Ottensen 34 24 4 6 79:33 76
3 Dassendorf 34 23 2 9 92:30 71
4 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 23 2 9 100:46 71
5 Niendorfer TSV 34 20 4 10 81:39 64
6 Barmbek-Uhlenhorst 34 17 9 8 88:58 60
7 Sasel 34 18 5 11 88:52 59
8 TuS Osdorf 34 15 5 14 68:69 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 7 13 73:66 49
10 Suderelbe 34 13 7 14 68:70 46
11 Curslack-Neuengamme 34 12 8 14 61:59 44
12 Rugenbergen 34 12 4 18 63:67 40
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 4 19 56:76 37
14 Meiendorfer SV 34 9 9 16 44:71 36
15 Wedeler 34 8 9 17 51:68 33
16 HEBC Hamburg 34 9 2 23 55:99 29
17 Condor Hamburg 34 8 4 22 59:93 28
18 Pinneberg 34 1 0 33 21:199 3
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg 2018/2019 (Promotion)