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Piracicaba vs AEA Aracatuba

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra, Piracicaba
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Iago
76' Event
Joao Victor

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Piracicaba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Piracicaba
20%
Draws
0%
AEA Aracatuba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piracicaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Piracicaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Piracicaba a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Piracicaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piracicaba AEA Aracatuba
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 13 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs AEA Aracatuba
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Paulista
AEA Aracatuba vs Piracicaba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AEA Aracatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piracicaba 95 / 100
AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piracicaba AEA Aracatuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AEA Aracatuba conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: AEA Aracatuba has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Piracicaba's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Piracicaba VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piracicaba

(Home)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 7

AEA Aracatuba

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Piracicaba 2
AEA Aracatuba 1
Portuguesa Santista 1
Osasco Sporting 2
Sao Jose EC 3
Sao Bento 2
Comercial 2
Internacional de Limeira 1
Uniao Sao Joao 3
Noroeste 1
Primavera EC 2
Paulista 1
Gremio Prudente 2
Sao Caetano 0
Monte Azul 2
Francana 3
Quarter-finals
Piracicaba 3
Osasco Sporting 0
Sao Jose EC 0
Comercial 2
Uniao Sao Joao 0
Primavera EC 6
Gremio Prudente 4
Francana 1
Semi-finals
Piracicaba 2
Comercial 1
Primavera EC 3
Gremio Prudente 2
Final
Piracicaba 2
Primavera EC 1