Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Matheus Arcanjo
53'
53'
Luis Fernando
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comercial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Comercial come out ahead of Piracicaba on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Comercial taking it.
- Comercial arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 26%
Comercial Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Piracicaba | Comercial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Comercial
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Comercial
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Copa Paulista
Comercial vs Piracicaba
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Paulista A2
Comercial vs Piracicaba
1:4
Mar 1, 2023 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Comercial
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Piracicaba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36
Comercial Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Arcanjo
1 Goals Assists Leader Luis Fernando
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Piracicaba 13 / 100
Comercial 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Piracicaba Comercial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Comercial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Piracicaba's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Comercial has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Piracicaba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Piracicaba VS Comercial
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Piracicaba
(Home) 09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0 Piracicaba
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0 Cianorte
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01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0 Cianorte
27 Jun
Piracicaba
2 : 0 America RJ
30 May
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
Page 1 of 3
Comercial
(Away) 08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Comercial
31 Jul
Comercial
0 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0 Noroeste
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1 Tanabi
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Comercial
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1 Comercial
21 Mar
Jacarei FC
1 : 2 Comercial
14 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 0 Comercial
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Marilia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comercial | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primavera EC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventus-SP | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Paulista | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Santo Andre | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
