Sport Picks
Piracicaba vs Comercial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Paulista 
Match Events
45'
45'
Matheus Arcanjo
53'
53'
Luis Fernando
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piracicaba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Comercial come out ahead of Piracicaba on wins alone.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Piracicaba taking it.
- Comercial arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Comercial, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%
Comercial Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Piracicaba | Comercial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Copa Paulista
Comercial vs Piracicaba
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Comercial
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Comercial
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Copa Paulista
Comercial vs Piracicaba
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Paulista A2
Comercial vs Piracicaba
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Piracicaba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Comercial Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Arcanjo
1 Goals Assists Leader Luis Fernando
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Piracicaba 50 / 100
Comercial 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Piracicaba Comercial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Piracicaba's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Comercial has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Piracicaba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Piracicaba VS Comercial
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Piracicaba
(Home) 22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1 Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0 Cianorte
27 Jun
Piracicaba
2 : 0 America RJ
Page 1 of 4
Comercial
(Away) 19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0 Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0 Sao Jose EC
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0 Comercial
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Comercial
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
