Sport Picks
Piracicaba vs Guarani B
Brazil
Copa Paulista 2025 Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra, Piracicaba 
Match Events
86'
86'
Matheus Carvalho
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Piracicaba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piracicaba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Piracicaba carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Piracicaba taking it.
- Piracicaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Piracicaba | Guarani B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 16 |
| Wins | 12 | 3 |
| Draws | 13 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2025 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Guarani B
1:0
Jun 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Piracicaba
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Piracicaba Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Carvalho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Guarani B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Piracicaba 59 / 100
Guarani B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Piracicaba Guarani B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarani B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.
Piracicaba scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Piracicaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Piracicaba VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Piracicaba
(Home) 22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1 Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1 Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2 Comercial
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0 Cianorte
27 Jun
Piracicaba
2 : 0 America RJ
Page 1 of 4
Guarani B
(Away) 16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2 Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0 Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3 Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Guarani B
Page 1 of 4
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Guarani B
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0 Guarani B
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Guarani B
05 Jul
Sao Bento
0 : 0 Guarani B
21 Jun
Primavera EC
4 : 3 Guarani B
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
