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Piracicaba vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra, Piracicaba
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Serginho
60' Event
Paulo Marcelo
(Penalty)
81' Event
Serginho

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Piracicaba and Ituano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piracicaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Piracicaba
20%
Draws
38%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piracicaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Piracicaba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piracicaba Ituano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Ituano
3:0
Mar 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Piracicaba
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Ituano
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Ituano
0:0
Mar 12, 2016 Paulista
Piracicaba vs Ituano
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ituano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piracicaba 51 / 100
Ituano 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piracicaba Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piracicaba scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Ituano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Piracicaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piracicaba VS Ituano
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Piracicaba

(Home)
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0
Piracicaba
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
27 Jun
Piracicaba
2 : 0
America RJ
Page 1 of 6

Ituano

(Away)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Figueirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Votuporanguense641113:513
2Ituano63127:810
3Piracicaba62226:48
4Agua Santa60242:112
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria64029:512
2Juventus-SP64027:412
3Sao Jose EC63039:79
4Sertaozinho61054:133
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)