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Piracicaba vs Ituano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra, Piracicaba
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Serginho
60' Event
Paulo Marcelo
(Penalty)
81' Event
Serginho

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Piracicaba and Ituano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piracicaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Piracicaba
20%
Draws
30%
Ituano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piracicaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Piracicaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Piracicaba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piracicaba Ituano
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 14 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.06 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Ituano
3:0
Mar 18, 2026 Paulista A2
Ituano vs Piracicaba
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Ituano
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Ituano
0:0
Mar 12, 2016 Paulista
Piracicaba vs Ituano
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ituano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piracicaba 59 / 100
Ituano 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piracicaba Ituano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piracicaba scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Ituano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Piracicaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piracicaba VS Ituano
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Piracicaba

(Home)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
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Ituano

(Away)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Ituano 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
3 Piracicaba 6 2 2 2 6:4 8
4 Agua Santa 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
2 Juventus-SP 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Sao Jose EC 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 Sertaozinho 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)