Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pirata vs San Marcos

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Municipal de la Juventud, Chongoyape
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Morales M.
49'
Torres C.
57'
Sub
Torres C. In: Chaparro L.
Out: Torres C.

AI Match Summary

San Marcos in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pirata
20%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pirata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pirata lately — more wins on the board than San Marcos.
  • Model gives Pirata a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Pirata Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata San Marcos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.43 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs San Marcos
3:0
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Pirata
0:3
May 25, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs San Marcos
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Pirata
1:0
Sep 27, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Pirata
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 95 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Marcos conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: San Marcos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Pirata scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS San Marcos
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
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San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cajamarca 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 San Marcos 12 5 3 4 9:5 18
3 Cesar Vallejo 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
4 Carlos Mannucci 12 5 2 5 17:14 17
5 ADA Jaen 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
6 Llacuabamba 12 4 3 5 12:17 15
7 Pirata 12 3 1 8 5:16 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 14 8 4 2 25:12 28
2 Moquegua 14 7 4 3 20:13 25
3 Union Comercio 14 7 2 5 24:19 23
4 Tacna Heroica 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
5 Santos FC 14 6 3 5 21:21 21
6 U. San Martin 14 6 2 6 17:20 20
7 Deportivo Coopsol 14 3 3 8 13:25 12
8 AD Cantolao 14 0 4 10 7:21 4
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)