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Pirata vs Union Comercio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Pirata Logo

Pirata

1 - 2
FT
Union Comercio Logo

Union Comercio

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Navarro J. In: Santos S.
Out: Navarro J.
25' Event
Mimbela W.
33'
Hoyos H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Pirata and Union Comercio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Comercio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pirata
20%
Draws
40%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Union Comercio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union Comercio's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Union Comercio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Pirata Clean Sheet 16%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Union Comercio
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
2:0
Aug 17, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs Union Comercio
1:2
May 3, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
1:2
Jul 24, 2022 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
4:1
Apr 23, 2022 Liga 2
Pirata vs Union Comercio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Union Comercio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mimbela W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goluz Pena B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 23 / 100
Union Comercio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirata's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Pirata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Union Comercio conceded in 45% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS Union Comercio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
17 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 0
Pirata
12 Oct
Pirata
1 : 0
Union Minas
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Union Comercio

(Away)
18 Oct
Ayacucho
1 : 1
Union Comercio
12 Oct
Union Comercio
5 : 0
Ayacucho
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)