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Pirata vs Union Comercio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirata host Union Comercio in the Liga 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Pirata have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Union Comercio's 1.42 scored and 0.73 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Comercio slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.50, favoring Union Comercio. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pirata
20%
Draws
40%
Union Comercio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Union Comercio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Comercio a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Union Comercio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pirata Clean Sheet 16%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Union Comercio
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
2:0
Aug 17, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs Union Comercio
1:2
May 3, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
1:2
Jul 24, 2022 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
4:1
Apr 23, 2022 Liga 2
Pirata vs Union Comercio
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 23 / 100
Union Comercio 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Union Comercio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pirata scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pirata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Union Comercio let in goals in 45% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS Union Comercio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
17 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 0
Pirata
12 Oct
Pirata
1 : 0
Union Minas
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Union Comercio

(Away)
18 Oct
Ayacucho
1 : 1
Union Comercio
12 Oct
Union Comercio
5 : 0
Ayacucho
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 4 2 1 1 9:5 9
2 Union Minas 4 2 0 2 8:3 7
3 Pirata 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Ayacucho 4 1 1 2 2:8 4
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
2 Sport Huancayo 2 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Llacuabamba 4 1 2 1 5:2 6
4 Comerciantes FC 4 1 0 3 1:7 5
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 4 2 2 0 11:2 10
2 U. San Martin 4 3 0 1 6:9 9
3 Tacna Heroica 4 0 2 2 3:6 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams