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Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Pirin Blagoevgrad at 0.71 goals for, 2 against; Hebar at 1.67 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Hebar slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.75) point toward Hebar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15%
Draws
64%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hebar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hebar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hebar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hebar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Hebar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Hebar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.71 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
2:3
Apr 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
4:2
May 21, 2024 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
0:0
Mar 11, 2024 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
Hebar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Blagoevgrad Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Hebar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Pirin Blagoevgrad scored in 39% of their last 28 games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Blagoevgrad VS Hebar
0.38 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Home)
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -