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Pirin Razlog vs Germaneya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2018/2019 game between Pirin Razlog and Germaneya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pirin Razlog
15%
Draws
26%
Germaneya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pirin Razlog come out ahead of Germaneya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pirin Razlog a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 12%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Germaneya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Pirin Razlog
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Germaneya
2:1
Apr 13, 2019 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Germaneya
1:1
Oct 14, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Pirin Razlog
0:2
Apr 14, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Pirin Razlog
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 47 / 100
Germaneya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Germaneya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirin Razlog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Germaneya conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Pirin Razlog found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Pirin Razlog went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Germaneya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.17
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
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Germaneya

(Away)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)