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Pirin Razlog vs Hebar 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2023/2024 game between Pirin Razlog and Hebar 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirin Razlog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pirin Razlog
15%
Draws
26%
Hebar 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Hebar 2 haven't matched Pirin Razlog's recent run of results.
  • Pirin Razlog are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 17%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Hebar 2
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.18 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Hebar 2
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Pirin Razlog
4:1
Apr 20, 2022 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Pirin Razlog
1:1
Oct 6, 2021 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Hebar 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 75 / 100
Hebar 2 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Hebar 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirin Razlog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar 2 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Pirin Razlog's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pirin Razlog has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 7

Hebar 2

(Away)
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1
Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0
Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0
Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1
Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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