Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Pirin Razlog

2 - 1

Kostinbrod

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pirin Razlog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Pirin Razlog

22%

Draws

18%

Kostinbrod

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Kostinbrod haven't matched Pirin Razlog's recent run of results.
Pirin Razlog are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 18%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pirin Razlog	Kostinbrod
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	12
Draws	4	5
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Aug 23, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Mar 9, 2024 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Aug 26, 2023 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Nov 12, 2022 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 58 / 100

Kostinbrod 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pirin Razlog Kostinbrod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Razlog found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Kostinbrod let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Kostinbrod's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Kostinbrod

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38