Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyustendil in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyustendil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pirin Razlog
6%
Draws
4%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyustendil haven't matched Pirin Razlog's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pirin Razlog's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kyustendil here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 17%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Kyustendil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
1:0
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
6:0
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil
2:3
May 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 84 / 100
Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Kyustendil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Pirin Razlog's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kyustendil conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Pirin Razlog went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Kyustendil
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238