Sport Picks
Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Kyustendil in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyustendil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kyustendil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Kyustendil at 1.24 per game, Pirin Razlog at 1.21.
- Win probability leans Kyustendil's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kyustendil here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 14%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pirin Razlog | Kyustendil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
1:0
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Pirin Razlog
6:0
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Kyustendil
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pirin Razlog 23 / 100
Kyustendil 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pirin Razlog Kyustendil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kyustendil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Pirin Razlog's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Kyustendil conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Pirin Razlog went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pirin Razlog VS Kyustendil
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pirin Razlog
(Home) 12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1 Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
08 Aug
Pirin Razlog
0 : 3 Minyor Pernik
01 Aug
Pirin Razlog
1 : 3 Belasitsa Petrich
30 May
Pirin Razlog
2 : 1 Strumska Slava
Page 1 of 3
Kyustendil
(Away) 12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1 Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1 Kyustendil
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1 Kyustendil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
