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Pirin Razlog vs Rilski Sportist

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Nov 29, 2025
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog host Rilski Sportist in the Third League - South-West. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Pirin Razlog at 1.5 goals for, 1.5 against; Rilski Sportist at 1.38 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Rilski Sportist slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Rilski Sportist. Rilski Sportist in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pirin Razlog
17%
Draws
13%
Rilski Sportist
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rilski Sportist lately — more wins on the board than Pirin Razlog.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Pirin Razlog taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 16%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Rilski Sportist
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 23
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Rilski Sportist
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Razlog
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Razlog
3:2
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Rilski Sportist
2:2
May 18, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Rilski Sportist
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 66 / 100
Rilski Sportist 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Rilski Sportist

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Pirin Razlog scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Rilski Sportist's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rilski Sportist let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Rilski Sportist
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238