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Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki Geroy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog host Slivnishki Geroy in the Third League - South-West. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Slivnishki Geroy have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Pirin Razlog have conceded 1.76 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Pirin Razlog have won 0 to Slivnishki Geroy's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.88) point toward Slivnishki Geroy. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Pirin Razlog
30%
Draws
16%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Slivnishki Geroy haven't matched Pirin Razlog's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pirin Razlog's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Slivnishki Geroy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:3
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Pirin Razlog
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:2
Aug 10, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Pirin Razlog
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Pirin Razlog
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 40 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Slivnishki Geroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Pirin Razlog scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Slivnishki Geroy let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Pirin Razlog has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Slivnishki Geroy
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
03 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Levski Sofia II
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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Slivnishki Geroy

(Away)
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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