Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Pirin Razlog

1 - 3

Slivnishki Geroy

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Slivnishki Geroy in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slivnishki Geroy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Pirin Razlog

30%

Draws

34%

Slivnishki Geroy

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Pirin Razlog have won more games recently than Slivnishki Geroy.
Win probability leans Pirin Razlog's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Slivnishki Geroy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 12%

Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pirin Razlog	Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	4	8
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 4 - 4

1:3

Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Mar 1, 2025 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Aug 10, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Apr 6, 2024 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 35 / 100

Slivnishki Geroy 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pirin Razlog Slivnishki Geroy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Pirin Razlog found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Slivnishki Geroy conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Pirin Razlog went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Slivnishki Geroy

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38