Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Pirin Razlog

2 - 1

Strumska Slava

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Pirin Razlog and Strumska Slava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirin Razlog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Pirin Razlog

39%

Draws

31%

Strumska Slava

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Strumska Slava carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 13%

Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pirin Razlog	Strumska Slava
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	17
Draws	4	5
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	1.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West

Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 30 / 100

Strumska Slava 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pirin Razlog Strumska Slava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Strumska Slava conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Pirin Razlog scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Pirin Razlog stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Strumska Slava

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38