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Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Pirin Razlog and Strumska Slava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pirin Razlog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pirin Razlog
15%
Draws
48%
Strumska Slava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Strumska Slava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Strumska Slava's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Strumska Slava have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Strumska Slava
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.2 2
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog
3:0
May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog
2:0
Apr 5, 2017 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava
1:2
Sep 18, 2016 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
Strumska Slava 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Strumska Slava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pirin Razlog scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Strumska Slava let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pirin Razlog remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Strumska Slava
1 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 6

Strumska Slava

(Away)
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)