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Pisa vs Catanzaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
D'Alessandro M. In: Dorval M.
Out: D'Alessandro M.
22' Event
Iemmello P.
Assist: Candela A.
28' Event
Canestrelli S.
Assist: Tramoni M.

AI Match Summary

Pisa in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pisa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pisa
15%
Draws
36%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Catanzaro have won more games recently than Pisa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pisa Clean Sheet 15%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pisa Catanzaro
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.89
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie B
Pisa vs Catanzaro
2:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Pisa
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie B
Pisa vs Catanzaro
0:0
Apr 26, 2024 Serie B
Pisa vs Catanzaro
2:2
Dec 9, 2023 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Pisa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Canestrelli S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leone G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Iemmello P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pisa 31 / 100
Catanzaro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pisa Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Catanzaro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pisa scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pisa VS Catanzaro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pisa

(Home)
03 Oct
Monaco
2 : 0
Pisa
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
Page 1 of 6

Catanzaro

(Away)
19 Sept
Sampdoria
2 : 1
Catanzaro
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)