Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pisa vs Empoli

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Biondini E.
44' Event
Marras T.
Assist: Leris M.
45'
Yepes G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pisa
30%
Draws
37%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Empoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Empoli come out ahead of Pisa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pisa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Empoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pisa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Pisa Clean Sheet 68%
Empoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pisa Empoli
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Coppa Italia
Pisa vs Empoli
2:1
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Empoli vs Pisa
2:3
Feb 20, 2021 Serie B
Pisa vs Empoli
1:1
Oct 23, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Pisa
3:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie B
Empoli vs Pisa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Marras T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Saporiti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pisa 95 / 100
Empoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pisa Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pisa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Empoli let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Pisa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pisa scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Pisa VS Empoli
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pisa

(Home)
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

Empoli

(Away)
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
17 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Empoli
08 Aug
Livorno
1 : 1
Empoli
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova -
Palermo -
Torino -
Monza -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Parma -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari -
Verona -
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
Frosinone -
Udinese -
Venezia -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
TBD -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -