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Pisa vs Pavia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Carbonara M.
36' Event
Durmush M.
61' Event
Leris M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pisa and Pavia finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pisa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pisa
35%
Draws
19%
Pavia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pavia come out ahead of Pisa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pisa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pisa Clean Sheet 20%
Pavia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pisa Pavia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Pisa vs Pavia
6:1
Apr 1, 2012 Lega Pro C1/A
Pavia vs Pisa
1:1
Nov 14, 2011 Lega Pro C1/A
Pisa vs Pavia
1:0
May 6, 2007 Lega Pro C1/A
Pisa vs Pavia
2:0
Dec 17, 2006 Lega Pro C1/A
Pavia vs Pisa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Durmush M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leris M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbonara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pisa 31 / 100
Pavia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pisa Pavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pisa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pisa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pisa scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Pavia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pisa VS Pavia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pisa

(Home)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
30 Aug
Pisa
2 : 1
Catanzaro
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Pavia

(Away)
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
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