Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Pellegrino A.
27'
27'
Pellegrino A.
44'
44'
Rizq K.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D game between Pistoiese and Cittadella Vis Modena finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pistoiese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Cittadella Vis Modena haven't matched Pistoiese's recent run of results.
- Pistoiese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 20%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pistoiese | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
5:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pistoiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Pellegrino A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rizq K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Cittadella Vis Modena Compare
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pistoiese 85 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pistoiese Cittadella Vis Modena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pistoiese scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Pistoiese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Cittadella Vis Modena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pistoiese VS Cittadella Vis Modena
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pistoiese
(Home) 01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Pistoiese
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Tropical Coriano
03 Apr
Pistoiese
4 : 2 Crema
21 Mar
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Trevigliese
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
(Away) 01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Pro Palazzolo
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
02 Apr
Imolese
2 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
22 Mar
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
