Sport Picks
Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Pellegrino A.
27'
27'
Pellegrino A.
44'
44'
Rizq K.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Pistoiese and Cittadella Vis Modena finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pistoiese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cittadella Vis Modena haven't matched Pistoiese's recent run of results.
- Pistoiese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 20%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pistoiese | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 23 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.53 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
5:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pistoiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Pellegrino A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rizq K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Cittadella Vis Modena Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pistoiese 85 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pistoiese Cittadella Vis Modena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pistoiese scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Pistoiese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Cittadella Vis Modena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pistoiese VS Cittadella Vis Modena
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pistoiese
(Home) 20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0 Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Siena
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0 Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Siena
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
(Away) 20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
