Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pistoiese vs Corticella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kharmoud A.
6' Event
Pinzauti L.
13' Event
Polvani L.

AI Match Summary

Pistoiese in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pistoiese
15%
Draws
21%
Corticella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pistoiese lately — more wins on the board than Corticella.
  • Pistoiese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Corticella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Corticella
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1
Goals Conceded 0.52 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Corticella
5:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Pistoiese
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Corticella
0:0
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Pistoiese
0:0
May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Corticella
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharmoud A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinzauti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Corticella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 95 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Corticella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pistoiese scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Corticella conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Pistoiese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pistoiese

(Home)
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Pistoiese
04 Oct
USD Casatese
0 : 3
Pistoiese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
Page 1 of 7

Corticella

(Away)
18 May
Corticella
0 : 2
Sammaurese
11 May
Corticella
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
27 Apr
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Corticella
17 Apr
Corticella
0 : 3
Prato
13 Apr
Tuttocuoio
1 : 1
Corticella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)