Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pistoiese vs Siena

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Conti A.
90'
Campagna F.
90'
Barbera G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pistoiese and Siena finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Pistoiese
20%
Draws
32%
Siena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Pistoiese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pistoiese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 17%
Siena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Siena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Pistoiese vs Siena
0:1
Feb 13, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Pistoiese vs Siena
1:1
Oct 2, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Siena vs Pistoiese
0:0
Feb 16, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Pistoiese vs Siena
1:1
Sep 28, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Siena vs Pistoiese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Siena Compare

Top Goalscorer Conti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 57 / 100
Siena 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Siena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pistoiese's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Siena let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Pistoiese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Siena
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pistoiese

(Home)
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0
Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Siena
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Siena

(Away)
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
23 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Siena
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