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Pitbulls vs Carmelita

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between Pitbulls and Carmelita finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pitbulls
20%
Draws
33%
Carmelita
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pitbulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Pitbulls carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Pitbulls Clean Sheet 16%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitbulls Carmelita
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Carmelita
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Carmelita
2:0
Sep 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Pitbulls
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitbulls 36 / 100
Carmelita 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitbulls Carmelita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmelita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitbulls scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Carmelita conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pitbulls remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pitbulls VS Carmelita
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitbulls

(Home)
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
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Carmelita

(Away)
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
07 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 2
Pitbulls
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)