Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pitea vs Boden City

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025 LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Richard O.
71' Event
Brooks B.
81' Event
Jesus A.

AI Match Summary

Pitea in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pitea
15%
Draws
46%
Boden City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boden City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pitea have won more games recently than Boden City.
  • Win probability leans Pitea's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pitea Clean Sheet 13%
Boden City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Boden City
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Pitea vs Boden City
2:1
Apr 22, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Pitea
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brooks B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Boden City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jesus A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 40 / 100
Boden City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Boden City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boden City conceded in 88% of 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Pitea scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Pitea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
Page 1 of 7

Boden City

(Away)
18 Oct
Boden
1 : 3
Boden City
15 Oct
Boden City
0 : 1
Taftea IK
11 Oct
Friska Viljor
2 : 3
Boden City
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
3 : 1
Boden City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitea 12 9 2 1 32:12 29
2 Skelleftea 12 7 2 3 24:16 23
3 IFK Lulea 12 6 4 2 21:11 22
4 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 4 5 12:20 13
5 Boden 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
6 Kiruna 12 1 5 6 13:23 8
7 Boden City 12 1 4 7 12:22 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Ostersund 12 9 1 2 39:18 28
2 Umea FC Akademi 12 8 0 4 32:19 24
3 Kubikenborgs 12 7 0 5 20:22 21
4 Gottne IF 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
5 Friska Viljor 12 5 0 7 24:25 15
6 Lucksta IF 12 3 1 8 19:30 10
7 Taftea IK 12 2 3 7 11:28 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)