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Stadium Background

Pitea vs FBK Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kavur B.
7' Event
Fredriksson L.
31' Event
Faustini R.

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pitea
39%
Draws
31%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBK Karlstad lately — more wins on the board than Pitea.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FBK Karlstad have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FBK Karlstad
1:5
Oct 6, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FBK Karlstad
2:3
Jun 23, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Pitea
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavur B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hana G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fredriksson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 29 / 100
FBK Karlstad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea FBK Karlstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pitea scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

FBK Karlstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

FBK Karlstad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS FBK Karlstad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368